Handicapping Colts (7.5)
August 9, 2018
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The Indianapolis Colts have missed the playoffs the last three seasons and it was ugly a year ago, as they won just four games. Will the return of Andrew Luck change the fortunes for Indianapolis in 2018? The Colts have a new head coach in Frank Reich and optimism that they can get back to their winning ways this season.
Oddsmakers believe the Colts will be better, as they set the win total for Indianapolis at 7.5. Let’s look at the schedule for the Colts to see if they will go over or under that number.
Indianapolis Colts 2018 Regular Season Win Total - per BetDSI.eu
Over 7.5 (-115)
Under 7.5 (-115)
Indianapolis Colts 2018 Schedule Analysis
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Colts have not won a season opener since 2013, but this would seem to be a game that Indianapolis can win. The Colts are listed as 3-point favorites at BetDSI.eu.
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, at Washington Redskins
The Redskins have a new quarterback in Alex Smith, but this is a game in which the Colts can be competitive and have a chance to win. Could the Colts actually start 2-0 with Luck back?
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, at Philadelphia Eagles
This will be a homecoming for Reich who returns to Philadelphia. It probably won’t be a happy homecoming, as the Eagles are loaded on both sides of the ball.
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, vs. Houston Texans
The Colts actually swept the Texans last season, which is very surprising considering Luck didn’t play. This game looks to be a toss-up.
Week 5: Thursday, Oct. 4, at New England Patriots
This Thursday night game will have the Patriots as home favorites. It is the first time the Colts have visited New England since they were routed in the AFC Championship game following the 2014 regular season. The Colts have never beaten the Patriots with Luck at quarterback.
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, at New York Jets
The Colts should have a decent chance to win this one, as they will be playing a weak New York team and the Colts will get extra time to prepare having played last Thursday.
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, vs. Buffalo Bills
The Colts have a good chance to win this one, as they will be facing a Buffalo team that is expected to be one of the worst in the NFL this season. Look for T.Y. Hilton to torch his former teammate Vontae Davis in this one.
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, at Oakland Raiders
The last time the Colts visited Oakland it was bad news for the Raiders, as Derek Carr broke his leg. The Raiders did end up winning that game and they should get the win in this one.
Week 9: Bye
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
It was ugly last season for the Colts against the Jaguars, as they lost by a combined 47 points. It should be much different this time around with a healthy Andrew Luck leading the Colts.
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, vs. Tennessee Titans
The Colts were swept by the Titans last season, but this year’s Indianapolis team should be much better. This one should be close, but the Colts get the home win.
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, vs. Miami Dolphins
The Colts will be facing former running back Frank Gore who is now with the Dolphins. The Colts should be home favorites in this one and they should get the win.
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Colts have lost their last three in Jacksonville and that losing streak should hit four when this one is over.
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, at Houston Texans
The schedule for the Colts late in the season is difficult and this one looks like a road loss.
Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16, vs. Dallas Cowboys
If the Colts are going to have a winning season and have a chance to make the playoffs the last three games will be crucial. This one is winnable, as it comes at home against a Dallas team that could be looking for a new head coach.
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, vs. New York Giants
The Giants are expected to be much better this season and this game won’t be easy, as New York has rookie running back Saquon Barkley and an improved defense.
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, at Tennessee Titans
If the Colts are in playoff contention this game could decide whether or not they make it.
2018 Indianapolis Colts Regular Season Win Total Prediction
The schedule for the Colts is really favorable, as they have a lot of winnable home games. Indications are that Luck is looking like his former self, and if that is the case the Colts should win eight or nine games and go over their win total of 7.5 for the 2018 season.
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