Handicapping Broncos (7.5)
August 10, 2018
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The Denver Broncos have a new quarterback in Case Keenum and a lot of optimism heading into the 2018 season. The Broncos are coming off a 5-11 season, their worst since 2010.
The Broncos have not had back-to-back losing seasons since 1971-72. Oddsmakers are not so sure that Denver will have a winning season in 2018, as they set the win total for the Broncos at 7.5.
Let’s look at the schedule for Denver for this season to see if they will go over or under that number.
2018 Denver Broncos Regular Season Win Total - per BetDSI.eu
Over 7.5 (+110)
Under 7.5 (-140)
2018 Denver Broncos Schedule Analysis
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9 vs. Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks are nowhere near as good as they have been in past seasons and they have not visited Denver since 2010. The Broncos are listed as 2.5-point home favorites at BetDSI.
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16 vs. Oakland Raiders
The Raiders have a new head coach in Jon Gruden and a lot of optimism heading into this season. The Broncos will be playing at home and they could start out 2-0 under Keenum.
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23 at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have a lot of new offensive weapons for Joe Flacco, so this will not be an easy road game for the Broncos.
Week 4: Monday, Oct. 1 vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have a new starting quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and he will get a rude awakening against a Denver defense that features Von Miller.
Week 5: Sunday. Oct. 7 at New York Jets
The Jets are a team that doesn’t have a quality starting quarterback so the Denver defense should dominate this contest.
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14 vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Broncos will be facing former teammate Aqib Talib and a very talented Los Angeles team. This game looks like a toss-up.
Week 7: Thursday, Oct. 18 at Arizona Cardinals
The Broncos will be traveling to Arizona on short rest and facing an immobile quarterback in Sam Bradford. The Broncos have not played in Arizona since 2010.
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28 at Kansas City Chiefs
The Broncos had trouble at Arrowhead last season, but that was with Trevor Siemian at quarterback. They should have more success with Keenum.
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4 vs. Houston Texans
The Texans have not won in Denver since 2012, but the Texans have an exciting young quarterback in Deshaun Watson and a defensive start in J.J. Watt.
Week 10: Bye
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18 at Los Angeles Chargers
The Broncos couldn’t do anything last year against the Chargers in Los Angeles, as they were shut out. It was the first time the Broncos had been shut out since 1992. Denver should have more success this time around.
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have a potent offense that will give the Broncos a stiff test. This could turn into a high scoring game, as Pittsburgh’s defense is nothing special. Denver has won three of the last four meetings.
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2 at Cincinnati Bengals
The Broncos are capable of winning this one on the road as they proved two years ago when they won at Cincinnati.
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9 at San Francisco 49ers
The Broncos will get a tough test on the road against Jimmy Garoppolo and a very good San Francisco offense. This will be the first meeting between the Broncos and 49ers in California since 2002. The teams played in London in 2010.
Week 15: Saturday, Dec. 15 vs. Cleveland Browns
The Broncos should not have any trouble winning this one against a Cleveland team that is 1-31 the last two years.
Week 16: Monday, Dec. 24 at Oakland Raiders
The Broncos will face a difficult road test on Monday night against the Raiders. This game could have playoff implications, as both teams are expected to be contenders this season.
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30 vs. Los Angeles Chargers
This could be a defensive struggle to end the regular season, as both teams feature strong defenses. It could also be a huge game for both teams as they look to make the playoffs.
2018 Denver Broncos Regular Season Win Total Prediction
The Broncos should be improved this season with Keenum at quarterback, but their schedule is difficult and Vance Joseph has yet to show he is a good head coach. We’ll go under the total with the Broncos in 2018.
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