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Ugly Dogs - Week 10
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By Tom Wilkinson

NFL Week 10 Ugly Dogs

If you want to win money betting NFL games then you need to go against the grain. One of the ways to do that is to take teams that no one else wants to bet. I call them ugly dogs and last week those ugly dogs had a rough week as they went -0-2 against the spread, but in the last five weeks they are still 12-7 ATS. There are four plays this week, including one of the biggest pointspreads in recent memory. Let’s look at the Week 10 ugly dog picks.

Check out the latest Week 10 NFL odds at BetDSI

Buffalo Bills +7 at New York Jets

The Bills have been a mess lately without rookie quarterback Josh Allen. They have been blown out in each of their last three games and scored less than 10 points in each contest. It seems unlikely that Allen will play this week, but at least the Bills won’t have to go with Nathan Peterman, as it appears that Derek Anderson will be ready to go.

Anderson isn’t great, but someone off the street would be better at quarterback than Peterman. The Jets are also not a good team and they are laying a touchdown in this one. The public will be going against the Bills in this one and that helps our cause. We’ll take the Bills as our first ugly dog play of the week.

Arizona Cardinals +17 at Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs look like the best team in the NFL and they have the most explosive offense in the league. They are at home against an Arizona team that has won just two games all season. The Cardinals don’t have any real chance of slowing down the Chiefs in this one, so this game comes down to whether or not the Cardinals offense can do something against the Kansas City defense. The Cardinals do have David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald, but rookie quarterback Josh Rosen is struggling.

The public is going to be all over the Chiefs in this one and who can argue, as the Chiefs are not only winning, but they are covering. This is a huge number so perhaps the Cardinals can slip in the backdoor. We’ll go against everyone here and take the Cardinals as an ugly dog.

Oakland Raiders +10 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

When was the last time the Raiders were getting double-digits at home? The Raiders are a complete mess under Jon Gruden and playing for next year. They face a Los Angeles team that looks like they could be one of the few teams in the league that could challenge Kansas City or New England in the AFC.

The only positive for the Raiders is that this is a rivalry game, so perhaps they will show some emotion. This one is ugly, as no one is going to want to bet the Raiders, but that is what these picks are all about. We’ll take the big points with the Raiders as an ugly dog.

Dallas Cowboys +6.5 at Philadelphia Eagles

It is hard to believe that the Cowboys have fallen into the ugly dog category but that is the case. They are just 3-5 on the season, are poorly coached, and they could be without one of their top defensive players, as Sean Lee is hurt yet again. They now have to go into Philadelphia off a Monday night and play a rested Philadelphia team coming off their bye.

The Cowboys have some talent, but they simply can’t put everything together. The positive for Dallas is that this is a division game and one that they simply have to win to stay in touch with the Redskins and Eagles in the NFC East. Not many people are going to want anything to do with the Cowboys coming off their poor showing against Tennessee so that gives us added value on Dallas. It is hard to put money down on the Cowboys, but they qualify as an ugly dog this week in Philadelphia.

Check out the latest Week 10 NFL odds at BetDSI

· Rogers: NFC - Rams at Saints
· Mejia: AFC - Patriots at Chiefs
· Roberts: Vegas Money Moves - Title Games
· David: Total Talk - Championships
· Bookmaker: Champ Best Bets - Sides
· Bookmaker: Champ Best Bets - Totals
· Patriots-Chiefs Best Bet
· Rams-Saints Best Bet
· Champ Best Bets - Props
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